Login | November 13, 2019

Talking float

THE MOTLEY FOOL
Ask the Fool

Published: November 5, 2019

Q: Is a company's "float" the same as its outstanding shares? -- B.B., Escondido, California
A: Nope. The term "shares outstanding" refers to all shares of stock that a company has issued. Very often, some are "restricted" -- for example, if they're held by insiders (such as founders, executives and/or employees) who cannot sell until the shares vest. Those folks typically hold on to their shares for a long time. The remaining shares are available for trading, are owned by the public, and change hands more often. They're the float.
Imagine Scruffy's Chicken Shack (ticker BUKBUK), with 100 million shares outstanding and insiders owning 30%. That leaves 70%, or 70 million shares, as the float. It's good to check out a company's float, because if it's small ("thinly traded"), the stock can be volatile. With a limited number of shares, even moderate buying (or selling) activity can push the price up (or down) sharply.
Q: What do you think about buying stocks that are near their 52-week lows and selling ones near their highs? -- S.C., St. Augustine, Florida
A: Fallen stocks are certainly worth investigating, as their problems may be temporary, leaving them likely to recover and rise in value. But they also may be facing insurmountable challenges that will sink them further. You need to take a close look.
As for selling, think twice before selling a stock near its 52-week high -- the best stocks will keep hitting new highs over decades, rewarding patient investors handsomely. If you sell a stock after it doubles in value, you'll miss out if it later triples or quadruples. Rather than focusing on a stock's highs and lows, try to figure out where the company is going in the long term.
Fool's School
Let Small Savings Add Up
Most of us need to save money -- to pay off debts, pay for college or sock away for retirement. That's easier said than done, but saving significant sums isn't impossible. One strategy is to save small sums -- repeatedly.
The classic example is that costly cup of coffee many of us buy daily. If you're forking over, say, $4 for each one and you buy one every weekday, that's costing you about $1,000 per year! Brew your own coffee at home (or at work) and you can save quite a lot.
If you're a smoker, you have a powerful money-saving opportunity: Kick the habit. A single pack of smokes costs $8 or more in many places, so one pack a day can cost $3,000 or more annually for lots of smokers. Two packs a day? Double that. Better still, quitting can add years to your life, and may reduce your overall health care spending as well.
Many of us enjoy meals at restaurants regularly. If you spend around $50, on average, each time you (and perhaps your spouse or family) eat out, and you do so twice a week, that's costing you roughly $5,000 annually. Eat out half as often (and perhaps skip the appetizers or drinks), and you can save thousands of dollars. If you pack your own lunch instead of buying one every weekday, you might save $5 to $10 each day, totaling well over $1,000 in savings each year.
Other ways to save include trading babysitting services with friends instead of hiring babysitters, and streaming your entertainment at home instead of paying $10 or $20 for a ticket and popcorn at your local cinema. Shopping around for a better-priced cellphone plan or a better deal on car or home insurance can also pay off handsomely. So can simply calling your credit card company and asking for a lower interest rate or for your annual fee to be waived.
Little sums saved regularly will add up to large sums that can make your financial future more secure.
My Dumbest Investment
Broken Toys
My dumbest investment? I lost money on Mattel -- but it was still good to be part of a great American company. -- S.L.N., online
The Fool responds: You have a great attitude, recognizing that when we buy stock in companies, we become part-owners and share in their good or bad fortune. Depending on when you buy and sell your shares, you'll realize a gain or loss, regardless of whether the company is a sound one or a disaster.
Mattel isn't a hopeless disaster, but it has been struggling in recent years and posting losses. That's due in part to the bankruptcy of Toys R Us, which had been a major sales channel, and to competition from low-cost producers in China. There have been multiple CEO changes, too. Mattel's shares were trading above $30 a few years ago, and were recently near $10 per share.
Burdened with close to $3 billion in debt and less than $200 million in cash and equivalents, it has rebuffed buyout offers from MGA Entertainment and Hasbro. It even slashed its dividend by more than half in 2017, only to fully suspend it soon after.
All is not lost, though, and some see the company starting to turn itself around. It does have valuable assets in brands such as Barbie, Hot Wheels, American Girl and Fisher-Price, and sales have recently been growing, particularly internationally.
Foolish Trivia
Name That Company
I trace my roots back to 1866, when Cadwallader Washburn started building a flour mill by a waterfall in Minneapolis. During World War II, I made military equipment. Today I'm a global food giant, with familiar brands such as Annie's, Cascadian Farm, Totino's, Chex, Progresso and Larabar. (I sold off Green Giant in 2015.) Eight of my brands generate more than $1 billion in revenue annually: Pillsbury, Betty Crocker, Nature Valley, Yoplait, Cheerios, Old El Paso, Haagen-Dazs and Blue Buffalo. I've paid dividends to shareholders regularly since 1928, and rake in almost $17 billion annually. Who am I?
Last Week's Trivia Answer
I trace my roots back to the 1823 founding of a chemical company, Benckiser, in Germany. Over time, it became a consumer products company and bought other businesses. Today, I'm a privately held conglomerate, with controlling or major ownership positions in Keurig Dr Pepper, Panera Bread, Pret A Manger, Peet's Coffee & Tea, Caribou Coffee Company, Einstein Noah Restaurant Group (owner of Einstein's Bagels), Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Scandinavian coffee shop chain Espresso House, beauty specialist Coty and veterinary hospital chain Compassion-First. I used to own Jimmy Choo, too. Who am I? (Answer: JAB Holding Co.)
The Motley Fool Take
Plunk Some Money in Splunk?
One of the benefits of the new digital economy is the large amounts of available data that can shed light on what's happening within an organization's operations. Companies often need data analytics software to turn that data into actionable insights, and Splunk (Nasdaq: SPLK) is a leader in that field, taking in a hefty $517 million in its last quarter, up 33% over the previous year's level.
Splunk helps businesses organize and analyze both data locked up in old legacy computer systems and data generated by newer cloud-based operations. Its analytics engine has a broad range of uses, from monitoring equipment connected to a network, to payment processing activity, to coordinating cybersecurity efforts.
Its stock is down from its summer highs, in part because management projected negative operating cash flow of $300 million for fiscal 2020 -- driven by a new pricing structure and a faster-than-expected shift from perpetual licenses to cloud-based renewable subscriptions.
Over the long term, that shift will mean more predictable revenue streams, with Splunk adding more than 400 new enterprise customers in the first quarter of fiscal 2020 alone, including Chipotle Mexican Grill, Cerner and Slack. Risk-tolerant long-term investors might consider Splunk for their portfolios.
COPYRIGHT 2019 THE MOTLEY FOOL, DISTRIBUTED BY ANDREWS MCMEEL SYNDICATION, 1130 Walnut, Kansas City, MO 64106; 816-581-7500.


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